11/16/2018, 10:31:00 AM
If parliament declines the Brexit deal agreed between the UK and the EU, think-tank the Centre for European Reform has some concepts about what might follow.
A CER report details five possible choices: no deal, renegotiation of a various offer, a general election, a second Brexit referendum, or MPs finally accepting the deal.The CER says that when it comes to no offer, the EU and the UK may negotiate mini-deals on air travel, people’ rights, insurance contracts, border controls etc, in order to prevent disruption for services and residents.
If settlements resume for a brand-new deal, the UK might end up with a softer variation of Brexit, consisting of a permanent customizeds union, or a “Norway alternative” with the UK joining the European Free Trade Association in order to remain in the EU’s single market.
The issue with this circumstance, the CER states, is that the British parliament would most likely discover it difficult to accept single market guidelines on an irreversible basis, and neither the EU nor the EFTA countries desire the UK to join just for a couple of years.In the case of stopped working renegotiations pressing the UK towards the “cliff edge”, a basic election may start looking like an appealing alternative, says the report. It would be welcomed by the Labour leadership. And a new Labour federal government may unlock to a softer Brexit or even a second referendum.